NAIA Economic Studies:
26 st, September, 2006

China's high-tech market: A race to the middle


Multinational high-tech companies in China are losing out to their local counterparts. Here¡¦s how they can regain market share.

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"If you can't beat them, acquire them." This has become the mantra favored of late by multinational high-tech companies in China as they face fierce competition from Chinese players. Our research into 1,000 Chinese high-tech companies shows them to be growing three times as fast as the multinationals, on average. So what are foreign companies doing wrong?

By sticking too rigidly to product specifications for developed markets and to high prices, multinationals in many sectors have squeezed themselves into the thin, high-end market in China. To succeed in the Chinese high-tech market, these companies would do better to focus on the faster-growing midrange segment, where products cost an average of 20 to 30 percent less than their high-end counterparts.

Take electrical equipment, a $60 billion industry comprising sectors such as automation and power generation. While multinationals focused almost exclusively on the high end of the market, midrange Chinese players¡Xled by emerging contenders such as Chint, a maker of low-voltage electronics, and Shanghai Electric, a maker of power generation products¡Xhave expanded their share of the overall market to 65 percent, from 55 percent, over the past five years. This segment is growing almost twice as fast as the market for electrical equipment overall. Multinationals as a group saw their share of the market drop to 35 percent, from 45 percent, since 2001.

Local companies such as auto electronics maker Hangsheng Electronics or medical-equipment maker Shinva may not yet be household names, but such enterprises are gaining dominance in their industries. By 2010, we estimate Chinese companies will hold as much as 80 percent (about $260 billion) of China's high-tech market, up from 67 percent in 2004.

Some multinationals have responded to the erosion of their market share by acquiring the new breed of midrange Chinese winners in order to quickly build up a competitive midrange product line for the Chinese market. The multinational out shopping faces a number of obstacles in its path. First, there's the question of what they should be looking for. Simply spotting a suitable company is a challenge in a market characterized by a lack of transparency. Local players with revenues of $30 million to $100 million and 500 to 1,500 employees are potentially attractive buys. Midrange Chinese companies usually do not compete in the same high-end segment as the multinational acquirer and have more narrowly focused products, making it easier for a multinational to plug gaps in its product portfolio without buying a company with an overlapping product line.

But when a multinational tries to buy a local company, it may find that Chinese competitors¡Xwhich have been fiercely battling each other for survival¡Xclose ranks against a perceived foreign threat. The local companies may enlist the support of government officials to require foreign players to find a local partner before bidding for a project or to require a certain amount of locally made components. Thus gaining government backing for a deal is a vital prerequisite.

Chinese companies can also squeeze foreign competitors out by pushing down prices. Chinese companies are used to operating on very thin margins: last year the top 1,000 electronics companies in China had an average net margin of only 2.5 percent.

Nonetheless, some foreign companies are overcoming these hurdles. For example, one multinational maker of industrial electronics last year bought a Chinese company with a 30 percent share of the midrange segment and 25 percent annual growth. To ensure that customers and employees didn't flee following the merger, the acquirer enticed key management to stay put by allowing the Chinese company to maintain day-to-day management control. While it's too early to judge the outcome of the deal, initial signs look positive: in the first quarter of this year, sales increased by more than 60 percent.

Other multinationals can be expected to follow this trend. China is becoming an increasingly competitive market, and the route to success for foreign companies will lie in eschewing their past preference for the high end in favor of carving out stronger positions in the midrange segment


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